32218 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 32218 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32218, ~46% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32218 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32218 leans more Democratic than 13 of 19 neighbors.
32218 runs about 41 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32218 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32218. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+58) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 85 points.
Why 32218 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32218, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32218 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32218 runs about 41 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in 32218 have never been married, above 80% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 32218, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 32218 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32218 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.