33140 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 33140 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33140, ~32% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33140 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33140 leans more Republican than 34 of 55 neighbors.
Politically, 33140 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33140. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 33140 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33140, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33140 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 72%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33140, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33140 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33140 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.