33132 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 33132 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33132, ~26% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33132 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33132 leans more Democratic than 44 of 64 neighbors.
33132 runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33132 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33132. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 33132 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33132, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 96% of residents in 33132 live in densely developed areas, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 33132 sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 96% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in 33132 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33132, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33132 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33132 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 74% of households in 33132 rent, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33132 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.