33136 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 39% of adults in 33136 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33136, ~26% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33136 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33136 leans more Democratic than 52 of 65 neighbors.
33136 runs about 47 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33136 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33136. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+60) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 60 points.
Why 33136 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33136, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 33136 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 33136 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes. 33136 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33136, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33136 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33136 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 14 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 87% of households in 33136 rent, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33136 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.