33193 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 33193 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33193, ~17% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33193 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33193 leans more Republican than 31 of 42 neighbors.
33193 runs about 21 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33193. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 33193 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33193, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33193 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 88%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in 33193 are family households, above 93% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33193, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 33193 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33193 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 29%, about 14 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in 33193 rent, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.