33440 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 33440 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33440, ~25% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33440 compares
Politically, 33440 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33440. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 51 points.
Why 33440 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33440, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in 33440 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33440, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33440 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33440 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 15 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in 33440 have completed high school, below 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.