34142 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 34142 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34142, ~23% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34142 compares
34142 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
34142 runs about 21 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34142 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34142. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+33) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 61 points.
Why 34142 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34142, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in 34142 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 35%). 34142 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 34142, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 34142 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34142 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 14 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in 34142 rent, compared to around 28% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 62% of adults in 34142 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.