34974 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 34974 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34974, ~18% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34974 compares
34974 runs about 39 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34974. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 34974 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34974, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 16% of adults in 34974 hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34974, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34974 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34974 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.