33444 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 33444 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33444, ~41% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33444 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33444 is the most Democratic-leaning.
33444 runs about 45 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33444 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33444. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 71 points.
Why 33444 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33444, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 33444 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in 33444 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes. 33444 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33444, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33444 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33444 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.