33437 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 33437 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33437, ~49% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33437 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33437 leans more Democratic than 32 of 38 neighbors.
33437 runs about 33 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33437 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33437. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 33437 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33437, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in 33437 live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 33437 sits in the top quarter (about 48%, above 88% of zip codes). 33437 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33437, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33437 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33437 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 33437 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.