33614 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 33614 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33614, ~20% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33614 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33614 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 20 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 30 leaning the other way.
33614 runs about 10 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33614. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 33614 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33614. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 33614, FL does.
Why turnout in 33614 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33614 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 9 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 54% of households in 33614 rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in 33614 have completed high school, below 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.