34972 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 34972 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34972, ~16% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34972 compares
34972 runs about 27 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34972. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 64 points.
Why 34972 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34972, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 74% of households in 34972 are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 34972 sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 87% of zip codes).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 34972, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 34972 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34972 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 10 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in 34972 have completed high school, below 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.