33916 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 33916 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33916, ~27% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33916 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33916 is the most Democratic-leaning.
33916 runs about 44 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33916 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33916. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 62 points.
Why 33916 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33916, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in 33916 live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in 33916 have never been married, above 90% of zip codes. 33916 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33916, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33916 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33916 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 11 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 68% of households in 33916 rent, compared to around 29% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33916 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.