33931 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 33931 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33931, ~30% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33931 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33931 leans more Republican than 17 of 20 neighbors.
33931 runs about 15 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33931. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 33931 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33931. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33931, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33931 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33931 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 33931 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 33931 have completed high school, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.