34135 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 34135 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34135, ~31% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34135 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34135 leans more Republican than 7 of 18 neighbors.
34135 runs about 10 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34135. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 34135 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34135, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34135 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 88%, far above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 34135, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 34135 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34135 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.