34613 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 34613 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34613, ~27% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34613 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34613 leans more Republican than 5 of 12 neighbors.
34613 runs about 24 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34613. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 34613 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34613, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34613 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 80%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34613, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34613 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34613 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 58%, below 67% of zip codes. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 34613 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.