34950 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 43% of adults in 34950 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34950, ~32% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34950 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34950 leans more Democratic than 16 of 17 neighbors.
34950 runs about 61 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34950 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34950. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+80) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 66 points.
Why 34950 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34950, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 34950 is about 16%, about 56 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 34950 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes. 34950 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 34950, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34950 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34950 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 23 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 61% of households in 34950 rent, compared to around 25% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 66% of adults in 34950 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.