37044 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 20% of adults in 37044 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 37044, ~13% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~80% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 37044 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 37044 is the most Democratic-leaning.
37044 runs about 61 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 37044 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 37044 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 37044, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in 37044 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 84% of adults in 37044 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes. 37044 runs against the grain of Tennessee, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 37044, TN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 37044 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 37044 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 10 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 76% of households in 37044 rent, compared to around 34% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 37044 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.