37811 is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 37811 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 37811, ~9% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 37811 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 37811 leans more Republican than 7 of 10 neighbors.
37811 runs about 43 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why 37811 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 37811, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 37811, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 83% of residents in 37811 drive to work alone, above 82% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 37811, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 37811 looks the way it does
Turnout in 37811 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.