38036 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 38036 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38036, ~33% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38036 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38036 leans more Democratic than 10 of 11 neighbors.
38036 runs about 61 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 38036 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 38036 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38036, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
38036 votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 38036 runs about 61 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 38036 have never been married, above 87% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38036, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 38036 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38036 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 68% of households in 38036 rent, compared to around 29% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 38036 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.