38401 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 38401 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38401, ~22% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38401 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38401 leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
38401 runs about 5 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38401. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 38401 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 38401. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 38401, TN sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 38401 looks the way it does
Turnout in 38401 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.