39202 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 46% of adults in 39202 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39202, ~33% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 39202 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39202 leans more Democratic than 13 of 22 neighbors.
39202 runs about 69 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 39202 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 39202. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+88) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 69 points.
Why 39202 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39202, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 39202 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 39202 sits in the top quarter (about 45%, above 86% of zip codes). 39202 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 39202, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 39202 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 63% of households in 39202 rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in 39202 report food insecurity, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.