39216 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 39216 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39216, ~44% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 39216 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39216 leans more Democratic than 10 of 21 neighbors.
39216 runs about 50 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 39216 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 39216. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+75) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 94 points.
Why 39216 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39216, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in 39216 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 39216 sits in the top quarter (about 57%, above 93% of zip codes). 39216 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 39216, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 39216 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in 39216 have completed high school, about 13 points above the Mississippi average of 85%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.