39209, MS Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in 39209

39209 is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.

 
39209, MS block-group political-lean map
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About 52% of adults in 39209 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39209, ~47% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

39209, MS block-group voter-turnout map
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How 39209 compares

Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39209 leans more Democratic than 17 of 22 neighbors.

39209 runs about 104 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 39209 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within 39209. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+92) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+57), a spread of about 35 points.

Why 39209 leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39209, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 39209 is about 7%, about 65 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in 39209 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes. 39209 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 39209, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in 39209 looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 39209 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in 39209 rent, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 41% of adults in 39209 report food insecurity, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Nearby Zip Codes

Zip Codes with Similar Populations

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.