39654 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 39654 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39654, ~27% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 39654 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39654 leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
39654 runs about 10 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 39654. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+59), a spread of about 65 points.
Why 39654 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39654, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 39654 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 39654 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 85% of zip codes).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 39654, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 39654 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 39654 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.