40404 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 40404 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40404, ~23% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40404 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40404 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 10 leaning the other way.
40404 runs about 30 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole.
Why 40404 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 40404. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 40404, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 40404 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in 40404 rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.