40868 is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 40868 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40868, ~7% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40868 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40868 leans more Republican than 5 of 23 neighbors.
40868 runs about 45 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why 40868 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40868, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 40868, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 40868 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 81% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 40868, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 40868 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 40868 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in 40868 have completed high school, below 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.