44138 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 92% of adults in 44138 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 44138, ~44% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 44138 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 44138 leans more Republican than 19 of 36 neighbors.
44138 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Why 44138 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 44138. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 44138, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 44138 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 44138 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 44138 have completed high school, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.