44438 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 44438 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 44438, ~30% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 44438 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 44438 leans more Republican than 22 of 41 neighbors.
44438 runs about 8 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 44438. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 44438 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 44438, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in 44438 drive to work alone, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; 44438, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 44438 looks the way it does
Turnout in 44438 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.