45158 is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 45158 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45158, ~16% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45158 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45158 leans more Republican than 19 of 26 neighbors.
45158 runs about 48 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why 45158 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45158, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in 45158 drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 45158 fits that profile on both counts.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 45158, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 45158 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in 45158 own their home, about 17 points above the Ohio average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.