45404 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 45404 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45404, ~26% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45404 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45404 leans more Republican than 21 of 48 neighbors.
45404 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 45404. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 47 points.
Why 45404 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45404, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
45404 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 95%, far above the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 45404 sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 93% of zip codes).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 45404, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 45404 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 45404 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 17 points below the Ohio average of 61%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in 45404 rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in 45404 report food insecurity, above 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.