45403 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 45403 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45403, ~26% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45403 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45403 leans more Democratic than 31 of 47 neighbors.
45403 runs about 17 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while 45403 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 45403. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 45403 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45403, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 45403 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in 45403 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes. 45403 runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 45403, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 45403 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 45403 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 14 points below the Ohio average of 61%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 58% of households in 45403 rent, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 45403 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.