48864 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 48864 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 48864, ~60% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 48864 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 48864 leans more Democratic than 15 of 21 neighbors.
48864 runs about 43 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and 48864 sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 48864. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+20), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 48864 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 48864, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 75% of adults in 48864 hold a bachelor's degree, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 48864 sits in the top fifth on density (about 74%, above 81% of zip codes). 48864 runs against the grain of Michigan, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 48864, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 48864 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 48864 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 48864 have completed high school, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.