48866 leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 48866 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 48866, ~30% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 48866 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 48866 leans more Republican than 6 of 11 neighbors.
48866 runs about 29 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 48866 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 48866, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in 48866 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 48866, MI sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 48866 looks the way it does
Turnout in 48866 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.