51364 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 51364 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 51364, ~20% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 51364 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 51364 leans more Republican than 9 of 12 neighbors.
51364 runs about 35 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Why 51364 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 51364, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 51364 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 6 points above the Iowa average of 91%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 51364 are family households, above 78% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 51364, IA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 51364 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 51364 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in 51364 own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 51364 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.