51458 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 51458 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 51458, ~25% vote Democratic, ~79% Republican, and ~-4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 51458 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 51458 leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
51458 runs about 39 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 51458. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 51458 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 51458, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in 51458 drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 51458, IA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 51458 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 51458 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.