52351 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 52351 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 52351, ~28% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 52351 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 52351 leans more Republican than 15 of 25 neighbors.
52351 runs about 18 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 52351. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 52351 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 52351, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 52351 drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 52351, IA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 52351 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 52351 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 52351 have completed high school, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.