53204 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 39% of adults in 53204 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 53204, ~28% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 53204 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 53204 leans more Democratic than 29 of 46 neighbors.
53204 runs about 45 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and 53204 sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 53204. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+54) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+39), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 53204 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 53204, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 53204 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 53204 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes. 53204 runs against the grain of Wisconsin, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 53204, WI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 53204 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 53204 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 23 points below the Wisconsin average of 66%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 73% of households in 53204 rent, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in 53204 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.