54234 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 92% of adults in 54234 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 54234, ~57% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 54234 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 54234 is the most Democratic-leaning.
54234 runs about 25 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and 54234 sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 54234. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 54234 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 54234, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in 54234 hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 28%. 54234 runs against the grain of Wisconsin, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 54234, WI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 54234 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 54234 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 54234 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.