58002 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 58002 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58002, ~21% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58002 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58002 leans more Republican than 6 of 8 neighbors.
58002 runs about 11 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Why 58002 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58002, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 58002 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the North Dakota average of 87%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 58002, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 58002 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 58002 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 58002 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 58002 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.