58538 is a Democratic stronghold. About 86% of voters here vote Democratic and 14% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 58538 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58538, ~47% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58538 compares
58538 runs about 108 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58538 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 58538 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58538, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
58538 votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58538 runs about 108 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in 58538 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 58538, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 58538 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 58538 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 27 points below the North Dakota average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 60% of households in 58538 rent, compared to around 32% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 49% of adults in 58538 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.