75838 is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 75838 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 75838, ~11% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 75838 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 75838 leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
75838 runs about 54 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 75838. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 75838 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 75838, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in 75838 hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 75838, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 75838 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 75838 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.