76103 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 36% of adults in 76103 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 76103, ~23% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 76103 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 76103 leans more Democratic than 53 of 63 neighbors.
76103 runs about 43 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while 76103 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 76103. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 76103 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 76103, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 96% of residents in 76103 live in densely developed areas, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 76103 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes. 76103 runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 76103, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 76103 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 76103 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 76103 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in 76103 have completed high school, below 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.