78931 is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 78931 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 78931, ~16% vote Democratic, ~85% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 78931 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 78931 leans more Republican than 7 of 9 neighbors.
78931 runs about 53 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why 78931 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 78931, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in 78931 drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 78931, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 78931 looks the way it does
Turnout in 78931 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.