83202 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 83202 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 83202, ~25% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 83202 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 83202 leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
Politically, 83202 sits close to the rest of Idaho.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 83202. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 53 points.
Why 83202 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 83202, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
83202 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, far above the Idaho average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 83202, ID sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 83202 looks the way it does
Turnout in 83202 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.