85262 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 85262 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85262, ~28% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85262 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85262 is the most Republican-leaning.
85262 runs about 26 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85262. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 85262 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85262, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 85262 are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 85262, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 85262 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 85262 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in 85262 own their home, compared to around 79% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 85262 have completed high school, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.