85344 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 85344 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85344, ~27% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85344 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85344 leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
85344 runs about 11 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85344. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 61 points.
Why 85344 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85344, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in 85344 hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 85344, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 85344 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85344 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.