85371 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 85371 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85371, ~24% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85371 compares
85371 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
85371 runs about 19 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85371 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 85371 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85371, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
85371 votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85371 runs about 19 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85371, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 85371 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85371 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 58% of households in 85371 rent, compared to around 29% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in 85371 report food insecurity, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.