85924 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 85924 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85924, ~19% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85924 compares
85924 runs about 43 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why 85924 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85924, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in 85924 live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 85924, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 85924 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in 85924 own their home, about 17 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.