88354 is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 88354 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88354, ~7% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88354 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 88354 leans more Republican than 2 of 4 neighbors.
88354 runs about 83 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88354 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 88354 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88354, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in 88354 live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. 88354 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 88354, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 88354 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 88354 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 26%, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in 88354 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.